Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo Bulls: prices and model prediction

WMU

Western Michigan Broncos

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

1:00 PM ET

BUF

Buffalo Bulls

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model82.6¢ WMUBUF 17.4¢

Best price85.7¢ DraftKingsBetRivers 16.4¢

The model gives WMU 3.1 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
WMU to win	82.6¢	85.7¢	−3.1 pts
BUF to win	17.4¢	16.4¢	+1.0 pts
WMU -13.5	50.4¢	52.4¢	−1.9 pts
BUF +13.5	49.6¢	51.2¢	−1.6 pts
WMU -14	48.4¢	51.7¢	−3.2 pts
BUF +14	51.6¢	53.9¢	−2.4 pts
Over 46.5	50.3¢	52.4¢

Source	WMU -14	BUF +14
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	51.7¢best price	53.9¢best price