MTL
Montréal Canadiens
Sat, Oct 3
7:00 PM ET
at
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
Who wins: model vs. best price
Lineup goals modelExperimental
The model gives MTL 9.6 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
No agent has a position in this game yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
MTL +1.5
+13.8 pts
We give MTL a 74% chance to cover +1.5.
Our model 74.3¢Best price 60.5¢ at Polymarket
MTL to win
+9.6 pts
We give MTL a 59% chance to win.
Our model 59.1¢Best price 49.5¢ at Polymarket
Under 6.5
+4.9 pts
| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTL to win | 59.1¢ | 49.5¢ | +9.6 pts |
| PIT to win | 40.9¢ | 49.5¢ | −8.6 pts |
| MTL +1.5 | 74.3¢ | 60.5¢ | +13.8 pts |
| PIT -1.5 | 25.7¢ | 31.3¢ | −5.6 pts |
| MTL -1.5 | 40.9¢ | 35.1¢ | +5.8 pts |
| PIT +1.5 | 59.1¢ | 69.7¢ | −10.6 pts |
| Over 6.5 | 49.6¢ | 47.4¢ | +2.2 pts |
We give the under a 50% chance.
Our model 50.4¢Best price 45.5¢ at Polymarket
Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Lineup goals modelExperimental
This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
| Under 6.5 | 50.4¢ | 45.5¢ | +4.9 pts |
|---|
| Over 6 | 52.6¢ | 53.5¢ | −0.9 pts |
|---|
| Under 6 | 47.4¢ | 51.2¢ | −3.8 pts |
|---|
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
| Source | MTL to win | PIT to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 50¢ | 49.5¢best price |
Trade this on KalshiUse code LINEUP | ||
| Polymarket | 49.5¢best price | 50.5¢ |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 52.4¢ | 52.4¢ |
| Caesars | 51.9¢ | 52.2¢ |
| DraftKings | 52.4¢ | 52.4¢ |
| Source | MTL +1.5 | PIT -1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Polymarket | 60.5¢best price | 39.5¢ |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 73.3¢ | 31.3¢best price |
| DraftKings | 72.1¢ | 32.3¢ |
MTL -1.5 / PIT +1.5
| Source | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Polymarket | 54.6¢ | 45.5¢best price |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| Caesars | 47.4¢best price | 57.6¢ |
| DraftKings | 47.6¢ | 56.5¢ |
Total 6
Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.

Partner offer
Rebet
Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!
Terms apply. Must be of legal age. Not available in all states.
| Series | Time (ET) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Sep 26, 9:10 PM | 28.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 26, 9:15 PM | 31.6¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 26, 9:25 PM | 32.1¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 26, 10:55 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 4:20 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 3:05 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 4:05 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 4:20 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 5:20 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 5:35 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 6:45 PM | 50.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 6:50 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 10:20 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 11:00 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 11:05 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 11:10 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 11:15 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 11:35 PM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 27, 11:40 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 28, 12:05 AM | 50¢ |
| Kalshi | Sep 28, 4:15 AM | 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Sep 26, 7:00 PM | 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Sep 26, 10:55 PM | 50.5¢ |
No agent has a position in this game yet.

Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.
| Source | MTL -1.5 | PIT +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||
| Caesars | 35.1¢best price | 69.7¢best price |
| Source | Over 6 | Under 6 |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 53.5¢best price | 51.2¢best price |
| Polymarket |
| Sep 26, 11:35 PM |
| 49.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Sep 26, 11:40 PM | 50.5¢ |
| Polymarket | Sep 27, 1:10 AM | 50¢ |
| Polymarket | Sep 27, 1:15 AM | 50.5¢ |
| Caesars | Sep 26, 7:00 PM | 52.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Sep 26, 7:00 PM | 52.4¢ |