Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo, WTA Tennis
Guangzhou (WTA 250), round of 16, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Quevedo to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model49.3¢ BondarQuevedo 50.7¢
Best price54¢ KalshiPolymarket 46¢
Track who winsBondar 54¢Quevedo 46¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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Edges
On Kalshi and Polymarket
Quevedo to win
+4.7 pts
We give Quevedo a 51% chance to win.
Our model 50.7¢Best price 46¢ at Polymarket
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
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Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
How this works
The model gives Quevedo 4.7 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quevedo to win | 50.7¢ | 46¢ | +4.7 pts |
| Bondar to win | 49.3¢ | 54¢ | −4.7 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Bondar to win | Quevedo to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||