Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva, WTA Tennis
WTA Finals, 100, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model59.1¢ SabalenkaAndreeva 41¢
Best price58¢ PolymarketDraftKings 44.1¢
Track who winsSabalenka 58¢Andreeva 44.1¢
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Kalshi
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How this works
The model gives Andreeva 3.1 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andreeva to win | 41¢ | 44.1¢ | −3.1 pts |
| Sabalenka to win | 59.1¢ | 58¢ | +1.1 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Sabalenka to win | Andreeva to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||