Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova, WTA Tennis
Hong Kong (WTA 250), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Prozorova to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model46.3¢ LiuProzorova 53.7¢
Best price55¢ KalshiDraftKings 49.3¢
Track who winsLiu 55¢Prozorova 49.3¢
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Kalshi
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesProzorova to win
+4.4 pts
We give Prozorova a 54% chance to win.
Our model 53.7¢Best price 49.3¢ at DraftKings
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives Liu 8.7 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prozorova to win | 53.7¢ | 49.3¢ | +4.4 pts |
| Liu to win | 46.3¢ | 55¢ | −8.7 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Liu to win | Prozorova to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||