Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge, WTA Tennis
Lisbon 125 (WTA 125), round of 16, clay court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model59.6¢ GalfiJorge 40.4¢
Best price80¢ PolymarketPolymarket 21¢
No agent has a position in this match yet.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Galfi 20.4 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge to win | 40.4¢ | 21¢ | +19.4 pts |
| Galfi to win | 59.6¢ | 80¢ | −20.4 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Galfi to win | Jorge to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||