Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich, WTA Tennis
Ningbo (WTA 500), round of 32, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model53.9¢ KasatkinaSasnovich 46.1¢
Best price50¢ KalshiDraftKings 53.9¢
Track who winsKasatkina 50¢Sasnovich 53.9¢
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How this works
The model gives Sasnovich 7.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sasnovich to win | 46.1¢ | 53.9¢ | −7.8 pts |
| Kasatkina to win | 53.9¢ | 50¢ | +3.9 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Kasatkina to win | Sasnovich to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||