Dayana Yastremska vs Emerson Jones, WTA Tennis
Guangzhou (WTA 250), q10, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model62.3¢ YastremskaJones 37.7¢
Best price61¢ PolymarketKalshi 40¢
Track who winsYastremska 61¢Jones 40¢
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How this works
The model gives Jones 2.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jones to win | 37.7¢ | 40¢ | −2.3 pts |
| Yastremska to win | 62.3¢ | 61¢ | +1.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Yastremska to win | Jones to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||