Fiona Ferro vs Sofia Johnson, WTA Tennis
Queretaro 125 (WTA 125), round of 32, clay court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model69.7¢ FerroJohnson 30.4¢
Best price84¢ PolymarketPolymarket 18¢
Track who winsFerro 84¢Johnson 18¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Ferro 14.4 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson to win | 30.4¢ | 18¢ | +12.4 pts |
| Ferro to win | 69.7¢ | 84¢ | −14.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Ferro to win | Johnson to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||