Francesca Jones vs Marjorie Souza, WTA Tennis
Curitiba 125 (WTA 125), round of 16, clay court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model65.2¢ JonesSouza 34.8¢
Best price93¢ PolymarketPolymarket 8¢
Track who winsJones 93¢Souza 8¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Jones 27.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Souza to win | 34.8¢ | 8¢ | +26.8 pts |
| Jones to win | 65.2¢ | 93¢ | −27.8 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Jones to win | Souza to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||