Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann, WTA Tennis
Guangzhou (WTA 250), quarterfinals, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Teichmann to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model52.9¢ QuevedoTeichmann 47.2¢
Best price59¢ KalshiDraftKings 42.9¢
Track who winsQuevedo 59¢Teichmann 42.9¢
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Kalshi
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesTeichmann to win
+4.2 pts
We give Teichmann a 47% chance to win.
Our model 47.2¢Best price 42.9¢ at DraftKings
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives Quevedo 6.2 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teichmann to win | 47.2¢ | 42.9¢ | +4.2 pts |
| Quevedo to win | 52.9¢ | 59¢ | −6.1 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Quevedo to win | Teichmann to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||