Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee, WTA Tennis
Guangzhou (WTA 250), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Tararudee to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model59.9¢ SiniakovaTararudee 40.1¢
Best price67¢ PolymarketDraftKings 33.9¢
Track who winsSiniakova 67¢Tararudee 33.9¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesTararudee to win
+6.2 pts
We give Tararudee a 40% chance to win.
Our model 40.1¢Best price 33.9¢ at DraftKings
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives Siniakova 7.1 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tararudee to win | 40.1¢ | 33.9¢ | +6.2 pts |
| Siniakova to win | 59.9¢ | 67¢ | −7.1 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Siniakova to win | Tararudee to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||