Lucrezia Stefanini vs Isabella Maria Serban, WTA Tennis
Courmayeur 125 (WTA 125), round of 32, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model81.6¢ StefaniniSerban 18.4¢
Best price88¢ PolymarketPolymarket 13¢
Track who winsStefanini 88¢Serban 13¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Stefanini 6.4 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serban to win | 18.4¢ | 13¢ | +5.4 pts |
| Stefanini to win | 81.6¢ | 88¢ | −6.4 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Stefanini to win | Serban to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||