Analyst pick (Experimental)WTA Tennis
Sun 11:00 PM ETMaria Timofeeva to win
Teodora Kostovic at Maria Timofeeva
- Picked at
- 60c
- at FanDuel
- Market fair
- 57c
- at 2 books
- Analyst (AI)
- 64%
- probability
- Vs. fair
- 7.0
- points above fair
1 for, 0 against
- Price
Maria Timofeeva vs Teodora Kostovic, WTA Tennis
Guangzhou (WTA 250), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Timofeeva to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model69¢ TimofeevaKostovic 31¢
Best price63¢ PolymarketKalshi 37¢
Track who winsTimofeeva 63¢Kostovic 37¢
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Edges
On Kalshi and Polymarket
Timofeeva to win
+6.0 pts
We give Timofeeva a 69% chance to win.
Our model 69¢Best price 63¢ at Polymarket
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
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Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
How this works
The model gives Timofeeva 6.0 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kostovic to win | 31¢ | 37¢ | −6.0 pts |
| Timofeeva to win | 69¢ | 63¢ | +6.0 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Timofeeva to win | Kostovic to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||