Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun, WTA Tennis
Guangzhou (WTA 250), round of 16, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model61.4¢ TimofeevaSun 38.6¢
Best price64¢ KalshiDraftKings 36¢
Track who winsTimofeeva 64¢Sun 36¢
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How this works
The model gives Sun 2.6 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun to win | 38.6¢ | 36¢ | +2.6 pts |
| Timofeeva to win | 61.4¢ | 64¢ | −2.6 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Timofeeva to win | Sun to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||