Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofia Kenin, WTA Tennis
Osaka (WTA 250), q11, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model29.4¢ YamaguchiKenin 70.6¢
Best price17¢ KalshiPolymarket 83¢
Track who winsYamaguchi 17¢Kenin 83¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
The model gives Yamaguchi 12.4 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenin to win | 70.6¢ | 83¢ | −12.4 pts |
| Yamaguchi to win | 29.4¢ | 17¢ | +12.4 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Yamaguchi to win | Kenin to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||