Polona Hercog vs Jazmin Ortenzi, WTA Tennis
Lisbon 125 (WTA 125), round of 16, clay court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model49.5¢ HercogOrtenzi 50.5¢
Best price53¢ PolymarketPolymarket 50¢
No agent has a position in this match yet.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Hercog 3.5 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ortenzi to win | 50.5¢ | 50¢ | +0.5 pts |
| Hercog to win | 49.5¢ | 53¢ | −3.5 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Hercog to win | Ortenzi to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||