Tatjana Maria vs Fiona Ferro, WTA Tennis
Queretaro 125 (WTA 125), semifinals, clay court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model57.7¢ MariaFerro 42.3¢
Best price54¢ PolymarketPolymarket 47¢
Track who winsMaria 54¢Ferro 47¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Ferro 4.7 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro to win | 42.3¢ | 47¢ | −4.7 pts |
| Maria to win | 57.7¢ | 54¢ | +3.7 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Maria to win | Ferro to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||