Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna, WTA Tennis
Queretaro 125 (WTA 125), round of 16, clay court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup WTA ratings modelExperimental
Model77.4¢ MariaColmegna 22.6¢
Best price94¢ PolymarketPolymarket 10¢
Track who winsMaria 94¢Colmegna 10¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Maria 16.6 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup WTA ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colmegna to win | 22.6¢ | 10¢ | +12.6 pts |
| Maria to win | 77.4¢ | 94¢ | −16.6 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Maria to win | Colmegna to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||