Kalshi pick
Kalshi pick for Oct 26, 2026
Oct 26, 2026, Eastern time
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
- Analyst's chance
- 41%
- Kalshi when picked
- 36.5¢, a 36.5% chance
- Worth it
- At 37¢ or better
- Checklist
- 3 for, 1 against
Why
- Calgary allows 3.9 goals a game, 30th in the league, and scores only 2.3, also 30th, so a Toronto win by more than 1.5 is likelier than the price says.
- Toronto scores 3.85 goals a game, fifth in the league, and its penalty kill is first at 95.2%.
- Calgary also allows 30.5 shots a game, 28th, which gives Toronto's power play, fifth at 30.2%, room to work.
Risks
- Calgary's power play ranks fourth at 32% and could keep the game within one goal.
- Toronto is without John Tavares, who plays 17.3 minutes a game, and its own shots allowed rank 26th.
Lost at Kalshi: −$104.38 on $100 at 36.5¢, after the 1¢ fill cost and Kalshi's fee
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