Alex DeBrincat

NHL · Detroit Red Wings · R

Everything we track on Alex DeBrincat: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

Next game

vs NJD · Tue, Oct 13, 6:00 PM ET

Open the game page

How our models have done on Alex DeBrincat

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	0.5	36%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	42%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	39%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	35%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	0.5	39%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 5

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1.5	6%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	0.5	40%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	0.5	36%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	0.5	33%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	0.5	37%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	0.5	57%	0.9	0	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	65%	1.0	1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	61%	0.9	3	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	56%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	0.5	61%	0.9	0	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	22%	0.2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	24%	0.3	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	21%	0.2	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	24%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	25%	0.3	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	30%	0.4	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	27%	0.3	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	28%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	30%	0.4	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	28%	0.3	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	25%	0.3	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	28%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	2.5	68%	3.6	7	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	3.5	53%	3.9	3	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	3.5	40%	3.2	3	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	3.5	41%	3.3	4	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	4	42%	3.3	1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	2	33%	1.2	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	2	36%	1.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	64%	1.0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	64%	1.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	65%	1.1	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	2	36%	1.3	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	2	38%	1.3	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	66%	1.1	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	67%	1.1	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	67%	1.2	Won

Model's side won 1 of 5

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	67%	1.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	2	34%	1.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	63%	1.0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	63%	1.0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	64%	1.0	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	0.5	34%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	0.5	40%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	0.5	36%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	0.5	33%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	0.5	37%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	12%	0.1	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	14%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	14%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	14%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	15%	0.2	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	15%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	1%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	1%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	1%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	0.5	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	0.5	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	0.5	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	0.5	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	0.5	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	8%	0.1	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 WPG	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 NYR	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 MTL	0.5	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 9, 2026 SEA	0.5	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 OTT	0.5	23%	0.3	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 3

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at MTL	0	0	0	7	1
Oct 9, 2026 vs SEA	0	1	1	3	1
Oct 6, 2026 vs OTT	2	1	3	3	0
Oct 4, 2026 vs WPG	0	1	1	4	0
Oct 2, 2026 vs NYR	0	0	0	1	4
Season average (5 games)	0.4	0.6	1	3.6	1.2