Connor McDavid

NHL · Edmonton Oilers · C

Everything we track on Connor McDavid: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

Next game

at LAK · Tue, Oct 13, 10:30 PM ET

Open the game page

How our models have done on Connor McDavid

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	2	34%	1.2	1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	68%	1.1	2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1.5	27%	1.0	1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	0.5	63%	1.0	4	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	0.5	42%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	0.5	40%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	0.5	37%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	0.5	37%	0.5	1	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1.5	52%	1.8	1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	2	49%	1.6	3	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1.5	44%	1.5	2	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1.5	43%	1.5	5	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	40%	0.5	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	38%	0.5	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	35%	0.4	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	34%	0.4	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	45%	0.6	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	43%	0.6	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	40%	0.5	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	39%	0.5	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	45%	0.6	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	43%	0.6	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	40%	0.5	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	40%	0.5	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 4

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	3.5	41%	3.3	4	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	3.5	44%	3.4	1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	3	60%	3.2	4	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	3.5	46%	3.5	3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	65%	1.1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	66%	1.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	64%	1.0	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	67%	1.1	Won

Model's side won 2 of 4

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	67%	1.1	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	2	33%	1.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	66%	1.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	2	34%	1.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	63%	1.0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	65%	1.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	62%	1.0	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	66%	1.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	0.5	42%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	0.5	40%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	0.5	37%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	0.5	37%	0.5	1	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	14%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	16%	0.2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	14%	0.2	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	14%	0.2	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	18%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	15%	0.2	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	15%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	1%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	1%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	0.5	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	0.5	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	0.5	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	0.5	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 SEA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 SJS	0.5	31%	0.4	Won
Oct 7, 2026 ANA	0.5	31%	0.4	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	1	30%	0.4	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 3

To score the last goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the last goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 1, 2026 VAN	0.5	8%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at SJS	0	1	1	4	2
Oct 7, 2026 at ANA	1	2	3	1	2
Oct 3, 2026 vs SEA	1	1	2	4	1
Oct 1, 2026 at VAN	1	4	5	3	0
Sep 29, 2026 vs VAN	0	2	2	0	1
Season average (5 games)	0.6	2	2.6	2.4	1.2