Dawson Mercer

NHL · New Jersey Devils · C

Everything we track on Dawson Mercer: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs OTT · Mon, Oct 12, 7:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Dawson Mercer

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1.5	3%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1.5	2%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1.5	2%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	0.5	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	0.5	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	0.5	19%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	0.5	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	0.5	23%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	0.5	20%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	0.5	40%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	0.5	36%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1.5	58%	2.0	3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1.5	50%	1.7	2	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 2

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	14%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	16%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	16%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	47%	0.7	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	49%	0.7	0	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 1

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	46%	0.6	0	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 1

Recent games

Last 4 games
Game	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs VAN	3	0
Oct 6, 2026 vs UTA	2	0
Oct 3, 2026 at NYI	3	0
Oct 1, 2026 vs PHI	3	1
Season average (4 games)	2.8	0.3