Leo Carlsson

NHL · Anaheim Ducks · C

Everything we track on Leo Carlsson: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs CGY · Tue, Oct 13, 9:45 PM ET

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How our models have done on Leo Carlsson

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	0.5	38%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	36%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	40%	0.5	2	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	1	36%	0.4	3	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	0.5	35%	0.4	1	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 5

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	0.5	27%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	0.5	28%	0.3	1	Lost

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	0.5	55%	0.8	1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	53%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	59%	0.9	2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	0.5	55%	0.8	3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	0.5	53%	0.8	2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	2.5	43%	2.4	2	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	2.5	49%	2.7	1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	2.5	37%	2.2	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	1.5	61%	2.1	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	2.5	39%	2.3	1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	54%	0.8	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	57%	0.9	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	50%	0.7	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	1	49%	0.7	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	52%	0.7	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	56%	0.8	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	59%	0.9	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	53%	0.8	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	1	52%	0.7	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	54%	0.8	Won

Model's side won 1 of 5

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	52%	0.8	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	56%	0.8	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	49%	0.7	Won
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	1	48%	0.7	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	51%	0.7	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	0.5	27%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	0.5	31%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 FLA	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	0.5	28%	0.3	1	Lost

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	21%	0.2	Lost
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	23%	0.3	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	20%	0.2	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 4

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	23%	0.3	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	24%	0.3	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	23%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	9%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	10%	0.1	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	11%	0.1	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	11%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	1%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	1%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	1%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	0.5	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	0.5	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	0.5	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	0.5	4%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	4%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	4%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	5%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	4%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	4%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	5%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	4%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	1	5%	Won
Oct 9, 2026 WPG	1	5%	Won
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	1	5%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 CGY	0.5	15%	0.2	Lost
Oct 7, 2026 EDM	0.5	15%	0.2	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 VGK	1	14%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 1 of 3

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at CGY	0	1	1	2	1
Oct 9, 2026 at WPG	0	0	0	1	0
Oct 7, 2026 vs EDM	0	2	2	0	0
Oct 4, 2026 vs FLA	0	3	3	0	0
Oct 2, 2026 at VGK	1	1	2	1	0
Season average (5 games)	0.2	1.4	1.6	0.8	0.2