Luke Evangelista

NHL · New Jersey Devils · R

Everything we track on Luke Evangelista: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs OTT · Mon, Oct 12, 7:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Luke Evangelista

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	45%	0.6	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	37%	0.5	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	0.5	34%	0.4	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1.5	3%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1.5	1%	0.2	2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	58%	0.9	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	48%	0.6	2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	0.5	44%	0.6	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 3

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	22%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	17%	0.2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	15%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	25%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	20%	0.2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	18%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	18%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	2.5	55%	3.0	3	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	3	39%	2.2	2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1.5	69%	2.5	3	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	61%	1.0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	51%	0.7	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	55%	0.8	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 3

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	63%	1.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	53%	0.8	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	57%	0.9	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	60%	0.9	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	50%	0.7	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	54%	0.8	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	0.5	23%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	0.5	17%	0.2	2	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	0.5	15%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	5%	0.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	0.5	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	3%	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 2 of 3

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NYI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 VAN	0.5	13%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 UTA	0.5	12%	0.1	0	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 2

Recent games

Last 4 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs VAN	0	0	0	3	0
Oct 6, 2026 vs UTA	2	0	2	2	0
Oct 3, 2026 at NYI	0	0	0	3	0
Oct 1, 2026 vs PHI	0	1	1	4	1
Season average (4 games)	0.5	0.3	0.8	3	0.3