Mikhail Sergachev

NHL · Utah Mammoth · D

Everything we track on Mikhail Sergachev: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs TOR · Tue, Oct 13, 9:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Mikhail Sergachev

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	0.5	41%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	0.5	40%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	42%	0.5	3	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	0.5	36%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	0.5	40%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	0.5	44%	0.6	1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 6

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1.5	1%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1.5	1%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1.5	1%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1.5	1%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1.5	1%	0.1	1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1.5	1%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 6 of 6

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	0.5	48%	0.7	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	0.5	47%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	50%	0.7	3	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	0.5	43%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	0.5	47%	0.6	2	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	0.5	52%	0.7	1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 6

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	17%	0.2	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	18%	0.2	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	17%	0.2	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	19%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 6

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1.5	47%	1.6	3	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1.5	54%	1.8	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	2	58%	2.0	2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1.5	55%	1.9	3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1.5	54%	1.8	4	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1.5	58%	2.0	3	Won

Model's side won 4 of 6

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	40%	0.5	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	45%	0.6	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	47%	0.6	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	45%	0.6	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	45%	0.6	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	47%	0.7	Lost

Model's side won 1 of 6

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	42%	0.6	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	47%	0.6	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	49%	0.7	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	47%	0.7	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	47%	0.6	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	49%	0.7	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 6

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	39%	0.5	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	44%	0.6	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	46%	0.6	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	44%	0.6	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	43%	0.6	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	46%	0.6	Won

Model's side won 3 of 6

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	0.5	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	0.5	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	0.5	13%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	0.5	11%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	0.5	12%	0.1	1	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	0.5	13%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 6

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	3%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	4%	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 6

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	5%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	4%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	4%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	5%	Won

Model's side won 6 of 6

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 6 of 6

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	0.5	2%	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	0.5	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 6

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	2%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 6 of 6

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	2%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 6 of 6

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	2%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 6 of 6

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	2%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	2%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	2%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 6 of 6

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	21%	0.2	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	20%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	1	20%	0.2	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	1	21%	0.2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	18%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CBJ	1	20%	0.2	Lost

Model's side won 4 of 5

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	0.5	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BOS	0.5	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 NJD	0.5	14%	0.1	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	13%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BUF	1	1%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 NYR	1	1%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the last goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the last goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 1, 2026 CHI	0.5	2%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at BUF	0	1	1	3	0
Oct 8, 2026 at BOS	0	0	0	0	3
Oct 6, 2026 at NJD	0	3	3	2	0
Oct 4, 2026 at NYR	0	0	0	3	0
Oct 3, 2026 at CBJ	1	1	2	4	0
Oct 1, 2026 vs CHI	0	1	1	3	3
Season average (6 games)	0.2	1	1.2	2.5	1