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Mitch Marner

NHL · Vegas Golden Knights · R

Everything we track on Mitch Marner: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

Next game

at MIN · Mon, Oct 12, 8:00 PM ET

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Props

Sportsbook prices

Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.

Best sportsbook price per side and our model's numbers
Prop	Over	Under	Our chance of over	Projected	Edge
Goals 0.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	30.3¢FanDuel	76.2¢FanDuel	23%	0.3	Under +0.3 pts
Shots on goal 2.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	41.3¢FanDuel	65.3¢FanDuel	39%	2.2	Over −2.6 pts

How our models have done on Mitch Marner

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	48%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	52%	0.7	1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	47%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	54%	0.8	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	56%	0.8	1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	25%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	0.5	25%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	29%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	61%	0.9	2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	65%	1.1	1	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	60%	0.9	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	67%	1.1	1	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	69%	1.2	1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	24%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	26%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	23%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	27%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	29%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	27%	0.3	0	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	30%	0.4	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	27%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	31%	0.4	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	33%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 5

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	31%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	27%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	32%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	34%	0.4	0	Lost

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	2.5	37%	2.2	3	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	2.5	39%	2.3	5	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	2	62%	2.2	2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	2.5	41%	2.3	3	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	2.5	36%	2.2	1	Won

Model's side won 2 of 5

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	51%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	52%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	50%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	53%	0.8	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	50%	0.7	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 5

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	53%	0.8	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	54%	0.8	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	52%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	55%	0.8	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	52%	0.7	0	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	49%	0.7	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	50%	0.7	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	49%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	51%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	49%	0.7	0	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	25%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	0.5	25%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	29%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	30%	0.4	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	8%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	9%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	8%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	9%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	10%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	9%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	10%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	9%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	11%	0.1	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	11%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	10%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	11%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	10%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	11%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	12%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	1%	0.0	0	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	0.5	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	0.5	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	0.5	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	0.5	5%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	4%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	5%	0.0	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	5%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	5%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	6%	0.1	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	5%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	1	5%	0.1	0	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 TOR	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 6, 2026 SEA	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 VAN	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	5%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 LAK	0.5	20%	0.2	0	Lost
Oct 2, 2026 ANA	1	21%	0.2	0	Lost

Model's side won 0 of 2

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs LAK	1	1	2	3	0
Oct 8, 2026 vs TOR	0	1	1	5	1
Oct 6, 2026 at SEA	0	0	0	2	0
Oct 4, 2026 at VAN	1	0	1	3	1
Oct 2, 2026 vs ANA	0	1	1	1	1
Sep 29, 2026 vs CHI	0	0	0	4	0
Season average (6 games)	0.3	0.5	0.8	3	0.5