Morgan Frost

NHL · Calgary Flames · C

Everything we track on Morgan Frost: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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at ANA · Tue, Oct 13, 9:45 PM ET

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How our models have done on Morgan Frost

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	0.5	27%	0.3	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	23%	0.3	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	0.5	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	0.5	26%	0.3	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	0.5	26%	0.3	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1.5	3%	0.3	1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	0.5	20%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	0.5	16%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1.5	3%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	0.5	22%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	0.5	45%	0.6	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	38%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	0.5	32%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	0.5	42%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	0.5	42%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	16%	0.2	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	10%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	14%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Points, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	18%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	12%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	17%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Points, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	19%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	15%	0.2	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	12%	0.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	17%	0.2	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	17%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1.5	52%	1.8	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1.5	50%	1.7	1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1.5	47%	1.6	3	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1.5	51%	1.7	3	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1.5	54%	1.8	2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	44%	0.6	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	42%	0.6	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	40%	0.5	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	43%	0.6	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	45%	0.6	Won

Model's side won 2 of 5

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	46%	0.6	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	44%	0.6	Lost
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	42%	0.6	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	45%	0.6	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	47%	0.6	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	42%	0.6	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	41%	0.5	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	39%	0.5	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	41%	0.5	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	43%	0.6	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	0.5	24%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 COL	0.5	20%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	0.5	16%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	0.5	22%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	0.5	22%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	7%	0.1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	6%	0.1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	1%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	1%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	1%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	0.5	5%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	0.5	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	3%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	4%	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	5%	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	4%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	1	4%	Won
Oct 4, 2026 SEA	1	4%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 VAN	1	4%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	4%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 ANA	0.5	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 COL	0.5	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	1	12%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the last goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the last goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 1, 2026 SEA	0.5	4%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs ANA	1	1	1	0
Oct 8, 2026 vs COL	0	0	1	0
Oct 4, 2026 at SEA	1	1	3	3
Oct 3, 2026 at VAN	0	0	3	0
Oct 1, 2026 vs SEA	0	0	2	0
Season average (5 games)	0.4	0.4	2	0.6