Sign in Sign up

Noah Cates

NHL · Philadelphia Flyers · L

Everything we track on Noah Cates: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

Next game

vs CAR · Sun, Oct 11, 7:00 PM ET

Open the game page

Props

Sportsbook prices

Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.

Best sportsbook price per side and our model's numbers
Prop	Over	Under	Our chance of over	Projected	Edge
Assists 0.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	22.7¢DraftKings	80¢BetMGM	18%	0.2	Under +1.8 pts
Points 0.5Lineup NHL player modelExperimental	31.3¢DraftKings	70.2¢BetMGM	28%	0.3	Under +1.9 pts

How our models have done on Noah Cates

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1.5	2%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	0.5	14%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	0.5	15%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	0.5	15%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	0.5	18%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1	4%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	5%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	5%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	6%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1	5%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	6%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	7%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	0.5	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	0.5	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	0.5	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	0.5	3%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	2%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	2%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	3%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 BOS	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	2%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	3%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	0.5	23%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	0.5	23%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	0.5	27%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	0.5	35%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	0.5	35%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	0.5	40%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	14%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1.5	34%	1.2	1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	1.5	38%	1.3	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1.5	40%	1.4	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 OTT	1	32%	0.4	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 CAR	1	36%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 5, 2026 TBL	0.5	8%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 6 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at BOS	0	0	0	1	0
Oct 8, 2026 at OTT	0	0	0	1	0
Oct 5, 2026 at TBL	0	0	0	0	3
Oct 3, 2026 vs CAR	0	0	0	0	0
Oct 1, 2026 at NJD	0	0	0	2	0
Sep 30, 2026 vs PIT	0	0	0	1	0
Season average (6 games)	0	0	0	0.8	0.5