Sam Steel

NHL · Dallas Stars · C

Everything we track on Sam Steel: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs COL · Tue, Oct 13, 8:30 PM ET

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How our models have done on Sam Steel

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1.5	1%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1.5	1%	0.1	1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1.5	1%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1.5	1%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	0.5	14%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	0.5	12%	0.1	1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	0.5	15%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	0.5	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	0.5	15%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1	4%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1	5%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	3%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	5%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1	5%	0.0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1	4%	0.0	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	5%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1	5%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	4%	0.0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	6%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	0.5	2%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	0.5	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1	2%	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1	2%	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 5

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 PIT	1	2%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	1	2%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	1	2%	Won
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	2%	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	2%	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	0.5	21%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	0.5	25%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	0.5	20%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	0.5	25%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 BUF	0.5	31%	0.4	1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 SJS	0.5	36%	0.5	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	0.5	29%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	0.5	36%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 3, 2026 NSH	1	9%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 2, 2026 STL	1	12%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 at PIT	0	0	0	2	0
Oct 8, 2026 at BUF	1	0	1	1	0
Oct 5, 2026 vs SJS	0	1	1	1	0
Oct 3, 2026 at NSH	0	0	0	2	1
Oct 2, 2026 vs STL	0	0	0	3	2
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.2	0.4	1.8	0.6