Tyler Toffoli

NHL · San Jose Sharks · C

Everything we track on Tyler Toffoli: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs BOS · Tue, Oct 13, 11:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Tyler Toffoli

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1.5	3%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1.5	2%	0.2	1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1.5	2%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 LAK	1.5	2%	0.2	1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1.5	2%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 5 of 5

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	0.5	45%	0.6	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	0.5	39%	0.5	2	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	0.5	36%	0.5	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 LAK	0.5	34%	0.4	2	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	0.5	41%	0.5	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Shots on goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1.5	61%	2.1	1	Lost
Oct 8, 2026 STL	2.5	32%	2.0	4	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1.5	58%	2.0	3	Won
Oct 3, 2026 LAK	1.5	58%	2.0	3	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1.5	58%	2.0	1	Lost

Model's side won 2 of 5

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	0.5	24%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	0.5	21%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	0.5	19%	0.2	0	Won
Oct 3, 2026 LAK	0.5	18%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	0.5	21%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 3 of 5

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	0.5	28%	0.3	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	0.5	24%	0.3	1	Lost
Oct 3, 2026 LAK	0.5	20%	0.2	1	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	0.5	25%	0.3	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 4

Shots on goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	49%	0.7	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	47%	0.6	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	48%	0.7	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	47%	0.7	Lost

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	6%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	7%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	7%	0.1	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	9%	0.1	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	8%	0.1	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	7%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	8%	0.1	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score in overtime

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score in overtime: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	1%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	1%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	0.5	3%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	0.5	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	3%	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	3%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	3%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	3%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	3%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	3%	Lost
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	3%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 4

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	3%	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	1	3%	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	3%	Won

Model's side won 4 of 4

Points, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	16%	0.2	Won
Oct 8, 2026 STL	1	13%	0.1	Won
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	14%	0.2	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

Power-play points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Power-play points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 STL	0.5	12%	0.1	0	Won
Oct 5, 2026 DAL	0.5	12%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Shots on goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	51%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	50%	0.7	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 2

Shots on goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Shots on goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 EDM	1	48%	0.7	0	Lost
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	1	46%	0.6	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 2

To score the last goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the last goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 1, 2026 FLA	0.5	3%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	G	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs EDM	0	0	0	1	1
Oct 8, 2026 at STL	1	1	2	4	1
Oct 5, 2026 at DAL	0	0	0	3	1
Oct 3, 2026 vs LAK	1	1	2	3	1
Oct 1, 2026 vs FLA	0	0	0	1	0
Season average (5 games)	0.4	0.4	0.8	2.4	0.8