Zach Metsa

NHL · Buffalo Sabres · D

Everything we track on Zach Metsa: injuries, props, our model's numbers and our agents' record.

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vs FLA · Mon, Oct 12, 1:00 PM ET

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How our models have done on Zach Metsa

Goals

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Goals: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	2	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1.5	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 MIN	1.5	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	0.5	4%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 MIN	0.5	4%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 1st period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 1st period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	1	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 MIN	1	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score the first goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	0.5	1%	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	0.5	1%	Won
Oct 6, 2026 MIN	0.5	1%	Won

Model's side won 3 of 3

To score a goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

To score a goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score a goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

To score the first goal, 2nd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 2nd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

To score the first goal, 3rd period

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the first goal, 3rd period: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

To score the second goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the second goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

To score the third goal

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

To score the third goal: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 10, 2026 UTA	1	1%	0.0	0	Won
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	1	1%	0.0	0	Won

Model's side won 2 of 2

Assists

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Assists: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	0.5	11%	0.1	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Points

Lineup NHL player modelExperimental

Points: our probability for the over, projected and actual stat
Date	Line	Our chance of over	Projected	Actual	Model's side
Oct 8, 2026 DAL	0.5	14%	0.2	0	Won

Model's side won 1 of 1

Recent games

Last 5 games
Game	A	PTS	SOG	Hits
Oct 10, 2026 vs UTA	0	0	0	0
Oct 8, 2026 vs DAL	0	0	1	0
Oct 6, 2026 vs MIN	0	0	0	1
Oct 3, 2026 vs CHI	1	1	0	0
Oct 1, 2026 at CBJ	0	0	0	0
Season average (5 games)	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2