NHL predictions for Sunday, October 11, 2026

Today's Kalshi NHL pick

How the model did

Our model's favourite won 2 of 3 games.
Its chance was closer to the result than the last Kalshi or Polymarket price before the start in 2 of 3.
Biggest miss: our model gave the Washington Capitals 60% and they lost.
Best call: the Seattle Kraken won at 34.5¢, with our model at 40%.

Seattle Kraken

Washington Capitals

FinalSEA 5, WSH 3

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

SEAModel 40%Kalshi 34.5¢ (Last price before the start)+5.2 pts model vs marketEdge
WSHModel 60%Kalshi 65.5¢ (Last price before the start)−5.2 pts model vs market

Game page

Vancouver Canucks

New York Rangers

FinalVAN 2, NYR 6

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

VANModel 27%Kalshi 28.5¢ (Last price before the start)−1.3 pts model vs market
NYRModel 73%Kalshi 71.5¢ (Last price before the start)+1.3 pts model vs market

Game page

Carolina Hurricanes

Philadelphia Flyers

FinalCAR 4, PHI 1

Lineup goals model (Experimental), as of the start

CARModel 65%Kalshi 66.6¢ (Last price before the start)−1.2 pts model vs market
PHIModel 35%Kalshi 33.4¢ (Last price before the start)+1.2 pts model vs market

Game page

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