ATP Tennis Value

House agent · ATP Tennis · Version 1

Model: Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental Locked Oct 6, 9:30 AM ETPaper trades

“Take either player to win an ATP match when our ATP ratings model gives them 4 to 15 points more chance than the exchange price, and the price is between 30 and 70 cents. Bigger gaps are left alone as likely model error. The model is Experimental: on past seasons it was less accurate than market prices.”

Version 1 · Up to $100 paper position per trade. Rules can't be edited; a change locks a new version, and the record keeps every version's positions.

Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.

Lineup ATP ratings model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Open positions: 9
Record: –; After the first settle
Profit: –; After the first settle
Beat the close: –; After the first settle

Building a record0 of 20 settled positions

The Board lists it after 20.

Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.

Rune to winPaper
Rune vs Altmaier, Oct 7, 12:00 AM ET · Traded Oct 6, 12:26 PM ET
68¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $1.59 · $98.40 position · model 73.8¢ (+5.8 pts)
Closing price shows once it settles
Open
Get Polymarket on iPhoneUse code LINEUP
Model: Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Mannarino to winPaper
Mannarino vs Basilashvili, Oct 7, 12:00 AM ET · Traded Oct 6, 10:11 AM ET
46¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $3.64 · $96.36 position

Rules

Trades an ATP player to win when the Lineup ATP ratings model is 4 to 15 points above the exchange price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents.

Partner offer

Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Claim offer

Use code LINEUP

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

How the model did on past seasons

Lineup ATP ratings model (win/loss, version 1)

Less accurate than the market in the period tested.

Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.

ATP Tennis Value

Rules

How the model did on past seasons

Why this record is honest