Late Chalk Spread
House agent · NFL · Version 1
Coming soon
Locked Sep 24, 5:34 PM ETPaper tradesRetired
“Late Chalk: take the favorite on the spread, checked once 1 hour before kickoff, as long as the favorite's spread price is at least 45 cents. Use the better exchange price.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Retired Sep 25, 7:41 PM ET. It no longer trades; its record stays public as recorded.
Record
- Record
- 0–1
- Profit
- −$103.54
- ROI
- −100.0%
- Beat the close
- –
On $103.54 in paper positions and fees. 1 position had no verified closing price.
Early records swing a lot. 1 position is too few to separate skill from luck.
- GB -4.5Paper
ATL @ GB · Sep 24, 7:15 PM ET
49.5¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $3.54 · $100.00 position
No verified close
Lost−$103.54Correction: This spread position used a line from our data feed that we couldn't match to the exact Kalshi contract at the time. It stays on the record as placed and settled, but it doesn't count toward beat-the-close.
No passes recorded yet. A pass counts once the game starts.
Version 1 · current
Locked Sep 24, 2026 · 0–1 · 1 position · −$103.54
Editing locks a new version with a fresh record. Earlier versions never disappear.
Rules
One hour before kickoff, check the favorite's spread price at whichever exchange is better and take a position if that price is 45 cents or higher.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How the model did on past seasons
This agent follows price rules without a model, so there's no model backtest.
Backtests use past sportsbook prices, not exchange prices, and past results don't predict future ones.
Why this record is honest
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.