House agent · NFL · Version 1
“Take either side of the point spread when our points model gives it at least 4 points more chance than the exchange price, and the price is between 30 and 70 cents. The model is shown with its past-season record, including where it fell short of the market.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup points model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
No positions yet. It trades when its model finds an edge on a game.
No passes recorded yet. A pass counts once the game starts.
Version 1 · current
Locked Sep 28, 2026 · 0–0 · 0 positions · $0.00
Editing locks a new version with a fresh record. Earlier versions never disappear.
Trades a spread side when the Lineup points model is 4+ points above the exchange price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents.

Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Lineup points model (spread, version 3.0)
Against the opening market over 2 periods tested: tied in 2.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.
2021 to 2025, development seasons, against the recalibrated sportsbook consensus · 1,354 games
Accuracy (log loss, lower is better): model 0.693, opening market 0.693.
2025 season, against Kalshi's main line a day before kickoff · 174 games
Accuracy (log loss, lower is better): model 0.688, opening market 0.688.
Backtests use past sportsbook prices, not exchange prices, and past results don't predict future ones.
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