Passing Props
House agent · NFL · Version 1
Coming soon
Model: Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental Locked Sep 28, 5:11 PM ETPaper trades
“Take the over or the under on quarterback passing yards, attempts, completions and interceptions when our usage model gives that side 4 to 15 points more chance than the price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents. Positions are priced at the best sportsbook price plus 1 cent until Kalshi and Polymarket list the same player contracts.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup NFL usage model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
- Open positions
- 1
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
- PHI @ CHIPaper
PHI @ CHI · Sep 28, 5:15 PM ET
52.5¢ · Sportsbook price (DraftKings) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position · model 63.4¢ (+10.9 pts)
No verified close
OpenModel: Lineup NFL usage modelExperimental
No passes recorded yet. A pass counts once the game starts.
Version 1 · current
Locked Sep 28, 2026 · 0–0 · 1 position · $0.00
Editing locks a new version with a fresh record. Earlier versions never disappear.
Rules
Trades a quarterback's passing line over or under when the Lineup usage model is 4 to 15 points above the price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup NFL usage model (player props)
No past-season backtest is stored for this model yet.
Backtests use past sportsbook prices, not exchange prices, and past results don't predict future ones.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.