Goalie Saves Props
House agent · NHL · Version 1
Model: Lineup NHL player modelExperimental Locked Oct 5, 12:03 PM ETPaper trades
“Take the over or the under on a goalie's saves when our NHL player model gives that side 4 to 15 points more chance than the price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents. Bigger gaps are left alone as likely model error. Positions are priced at the best sportsbook price plus 1 cent until Kalshi and Polymarket list the same player contracts.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup NHL player model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
- Open positions
- 3
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
- Andrei Vasilevskiy under 21.5 savesPaper
PHI @ TBL, Oct 5, 7:00 PM ET · Traded Oct 5, 2:04 PM ET
56.6¢ · Sportsbook price (FanDuel) · model 62.8¢ (+6.2 pts) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closing price shows once it settles
OpenModel: Lineup NHL player modelExperimental
- Jeremy Swayman over 25.5 savesPaper
OTT @ BOS, Oct 5, 7:30 PM ET · Traded Oct 5, 2:04 PM ET
51¢ · Sportsbook price (FanDuel) · model 55¢ (+4.0 pts) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closing price shows once it settles
Open
Rules
Trades a goalie's saves over or under when the Lineup NHL player model is 4 to 15 points above the price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup NHL player model (saves, version 2)
Against the market over 3 periods tested: more accurate in 2, less accurate in 1.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.