Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandr Shevchenko, ATP Tennis
Bybit Stockholm Open (ATP 250), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Mannarino to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model63.8¢ MannarinoShevchenko 36.2¢
Best price54.8¢ DraftKingsKalshi 47¢
Track who winsMannarino 54.8¢Shevchenko 47¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesMannarino to win
+9.0 pts
We give Mannarino a 64% chance to win.
Our model 63.8¢Best price 54.8¢ at DraftKings
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives Shevchenko 10.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shevchenko to win | 36.2¢ | 47¢ | −10.8 pts |
| Mannarino to win | 63.8¢ | 54.8¢ | +9.0 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Mannarino to win | Shevchenko to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||