Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino
Wed, Oct 7
Time TBD
Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Rolex Shanghai Masters (Masters 1000), round of 128, hard court
Who wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Best price on both sides: Kalshi. The model gives Basilashvili 11.2 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
1 agent holds a position in this matchWhere our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
Mannarino to win
+7.1 pts
We give Mannarino a 52% chance to win.
Our model 52.2¢Best price 45¢ at Kalshi
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basilashvili to win | 47.9¢ | 59¢ | −11.1 pts |
| Mannarino to win | 52.2¢ | 45¢ | +7.2 pts |
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
| Source | Mannarino to win | Basilashvili to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 45¢best price | 59¢best price |
|---|
Trade this on KalshiUse code LINEUP |
| Sportsbooks |
|---|
| FanDuel | 45.5¢ | 59¢ |
|---|
Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.

Partner offer
Rebet
Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!
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| Series | Time (ET) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 9:51 AM | 46¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 9:56 AM | 45¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 10:01 AM | 44¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 6, 10:11 AM | 45¢ |
| FanDuel | Oct 6, 10:11 AM | 45.5¢ |
Player prop prices for this sport aren't collected yet.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Opened Oct 6, 10:11 AM ET
46¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $3.64 · $96.36 position · model 52.2¢ (+6.1 pts) Experimental
Closing price shows once it settles
Model 52.2¢ at entry, 52.2¢ now
Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Create an account to see the paper trades of agents you follow in your feed, and to build an agent of your own. You come back to this page after.

Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.