Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), round of 16, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model57.1¢ FilsFritz 42.9¢
Best price55¢ DraftKingsKalshi 46¢
Track who winsFils 55¢Fritz 46¢
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How this works
The model gives Fritz 3.1 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fritz to win | 42.9¢ | 46¢ | −3.1 pts |
| Fils to win | 57.1¢ | 55¢ | +2.2 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Fils to win | Fritz to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||