Daniel Altmaier vs Titouan Droguet, ATP Tennis
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes (ATP 250), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Altmaier to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model44.3¢ AltmaierDroguet 55.8¢
Best price35¢ PolymarketPolymarket 67¢
Track who winsAltmaier 35¢Droguet 67¢
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Edges
On Kalshi and Polymarket
Altmaier to win
+9.3 pts
We give Altmaier a 44% chance to win.
Our model 44.3¢Best price 35¢ at Polymarket
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
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Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Droguet 11.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Droguet to win | 55.8¢ | 67¢ | −11.2 pts |
| Altmaier to win | 44.3¢ | 35¢ | +9.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Altmaier to win | Droguet to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||