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Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz
Thu, Oct 8
Time TBD
Duckworth
James Duckworth
Rolex Shanghai Masters (Masters 1000), round of 128, hard court
Who wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
The model gives Duckworth 10.0 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
1 agent holds a position in this matchWhere our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
Hurkacz to win
+9.5 pts
We give Hurkacz a 76% chance to win.
Our model 75.5¢Best price 66¢ at Polymarket
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duckworth to win | 24.5¢ | 34.5¢ | −10.0 pts |
| Hurkacz to win | 75.5¢ | 66¢ | +9.5 pts |
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
| Source | Hurkacz to win | Duckworth to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Polymarket | 66¢best price | 35¢ |
|---|
| Sportsbooks |
|---|
| DraftKings | 68.4¢ | 36.5¢ |
|---|
| FanDuel | 70.2¢ | 34.5¢best price |
|---|
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Partner offer
Rebet
Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!
Terms apply. Must be of legal age. Not available in all states.
| Series | Time (ET) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Oct 7, 2:06 AM | 66¢ |
| DraftKings | Oct 7, 2:06 AM | 71.5¢ |
| DraftKings | Oct 7, 2:56 AM | 68.4¢ |
| FanDuel | Oct 7, 2:06 AM | 70.2¢ |
Player prop prices for this sport aren't collected yet.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Opened Oct 7, 2:31 AM ET
66¢ · Polymarket order book · fee $1.79 · $98.20 position · model 75.5¢ (+9.5 pts) Experimental
Closing price shows once it settles
Model 75.5¢ at entry, 75.5¢ now
Polymarket: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
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Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.