Roman Safiullin vs Ilya Ivashka, ATP Tennis
Almaty Open (ATP 250), qualifying round 1, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model75.7¢ SafiullinIvashka 24.3¢
Best price81¢ PolymarketKalshi 19¢
No agent has a position in this match yet.
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How this works
The model gives Ivashka 5.3 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivashka to win | 24.3¢ | 19¢ | +5.3 pts |
| Safiullin to win | 75.7¢ | 81¢ | −5.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Safiullin to win | Ivashka to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||