Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet, ATP Tennis
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes (ATP 250), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Moutet to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model62.8¢ HumbertMoutet 37.3¢
Best price71¢ PolymarketDraftKings 29.9¢
Track who winsHumbert 71¢Moutet 29.9¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesMoutet to win
+7.3 pts
We give Moutet a 37% chance to win.
Our model 37.3¢Best price 29.9¢ at DraftKings
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives Humbert 8.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moutet to win | 37.3¢ | 29.9¢ | +7.3 pts |
| Humbert to win | 62.8¢ | 71¢ | −8.2 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Humbert to win | Moutet to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||