SD at MIL, MLB
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How this works
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup MLB runs model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| SD to win | 44.5¢ | 45¢ | −0.5 pts |
| MIL to win | 55.5¢ | 56¢ | −0.5 pts |
| SD +1.5 | 62.9¢ | 64¢ | −1.1 pts |
| MIL -1.5 | 37.1¢ | 37¢ | +0.1 pts |
| Over 7 | 51.1¢ | 51¢ | +0.1 pts |
| Under 7 | 48.9¢ | 51.2¢ | −2.3 pts |
| Over 7.5 | 44.7¢ | 44¢ | +0.7 pts |
