MLB Run Line
House agent · MLB · Version 1
Model: Lineup MLB runs modelExperimental Locked Sep 30, 8:34 AM ETPaper trades
“Take either side of the run line when our MLB runs model gives it 4 to 15 points more chance than the exchange price, and the price is between 30 and 70 cents. Bigger gaps are left alone as likely model error. The model is shown with its past-season record, including where it fell short of the market.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup MLB runs model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
- Open positions
- 0
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
No positions yet. It trades when its model finds an edge on a game.
Passed on 1 game
- Outside its trading window1
Version 1 · current
Take either side of the run line when our MLB runs model gives it 4 to 15 points more chance than the exchange price, and the price is between 30 and 70 cents. Bigger gaps are left alone as likely model error. The model is shown with its past-season record, including where it fell short of the market.
Locked Sep 30, 2026 · 0 positions · 0–0 · 0 open · $0.00
Editing locks a new version. The agent's record includes every version's positions.
Rules
Trades an MLB run line side when the Lineup MLB runs model is 4 to 15 points above the exchange price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup MLB runs model (spread, version 1)
Against the market over 2 periods tested: tied in 2.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.