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Florida State Seminoles at Florida A&M Rattlers: Kalshi prices and model prediction
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How this works The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened.
How it went Score by period Team H1 H2 T FSU 54 58 112 FAMU 27 42 69
Scoring H2 0:48 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes driving layup · 112-69 H2 1:11 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ralph Martino Jr. assists) · 112-67 H2 1:30 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes free throw 2 of 2 · 112-64 H2 1:30 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes free throw 1 of 2 · 112-63 H2 1:40 · FSU · Alex Steen makes free throw 1 of 2 · 112-62 H2 1:50 · FAMU · Ralph Martino Jr. makes 10-foot pullup jump shot · 111-62 Show all 100 H2 2:10 · FSU · Brandon Bass Jr. makes layup · 111-60 H2 2:43 · FSU · Cooper Schwieger makes 3-foot dunk (Elise Assui assists) · 109-60 H2 3:02 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes free throw 2 of 2 · 107-60 H2 3:02 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes free throw 1 of 2 · 107-59 H2 3:07 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes 3-foot alley oop dunk (Kam Taylor assists) · 107-58
H2 3:32 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes layup (Anthony Robinson II assists) · 105-58
H2 3:53 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes 10-foot jumper · 103-58
H2 4:14 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes 28-foot three point jumper (Shon Abaev assists) · 103-56
H2 4:54 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes 2-foot jumper · 100-56
H2 5:10 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes 25-foot three point jumper (Chandler Davis assists) · 98-56
H2 5:31 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 2 of 2 · 98-53
H2 5:31 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 1 of 2 · 97-53
H2 6:11 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes driving layup · 96-53
H2 6:27 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes 5-foot dunk · 94-53
H2 6:42 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes driving layup · 94-51
H2 7:11 · FSU · Shon Abaev makes driving layup · 92-51
H2 7:26 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes driving layup · 90-51
H2 7:43 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes 24-foot three point jumper (Antonio Baker Jr. assists) · 90-49
H2 7:59 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes 26-foot three point jumper (Sebastian Rancik assists) · 90-46
H2 8:25 · FSU · Alex Steen makes layup (Sebastian Rancik assists) · 87-46
H2 8:37 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Antonio Baker Jr. assists) · 85-46
H2 8:50 · FSU · Brandon Bass Jr. makes free throw 1 of 1 · 85-43
H2 8:50 · FSU · Brandon Bass Jr. makes 3-foot dunk · 84-43
H2 9:28 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes driving layup · 82-43
H2 9:48 · FSU · Brandon Bass Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kam Taylor assists) · 80-43
H2 10:14 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes driving layup · 77-43
H2 11:19 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes 9-foot pullup jump shot · 77-41
H2 11:41 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes 0-foot tip in layup · 75-41
H2 12:19 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes 12-foot jumper · 75-39
H2 12:35 · FSU · Cooper Schwieger makes 12-foot hook shot · 75-37
H2 13:02 · FSU · Martay Barnes makes driving layup · 73-37
H2 13:54 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes 4-foot jumper · 71-37
H2 14:04 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes free throw 2 of 2 · 69-37
H2 14:04 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes free throw 1 of 2 · 69-36
H2 14:31 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes 1-foot dunk (Shon Abaev assists) · 69-35
H2 15:00 · FSU · Martay Barnes makes 23-foot three point jumper (Shon Abaev assists) · 67-35
H2 15:29 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes free throw 2 of 2 · 64-35
H2 16:02 · FSU · Martay Barnes makes 22-foot three point jumper (Shon Abaev assists) · 64-34
H2 16:11 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes layup · 61-34
H2 16:18 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 1 of 2 · 61-32
H2 16:35 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes 1-foot alley oop dunk (Anthony Robinson II assists) · 60-32
H2 18:36 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes free throw 2 of 2 · 58-32
H2 18:36 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes free throw 1 of 2 · 58-31
H2 18:36 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes layup · 58-30
H2 18:49 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jaden Kempson assists) · 56-30
H2 19:19 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 2 of 2 · 56-27
H2 19:19 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 1 of 2 · 55-27
H1 0:49 · FSU · Shon Abaev makes driving layup (Kam Taylor assists) · 54-27
H1 1:17 · FSU · Shon Abaev makes driving layup (Anthony Robinson II assists) · 52-27
H1 1:47 · FSU · Brandon Bass Jr. makes layup · 50-27
H1 2:17 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes 6-foot jumper · 48-27
H1 2:32 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes free throw 1 of 1 · 46-27
H1 2:32 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes 17-foot pullup jump shot (Antonio Baker Jr. assists) · 46-26
H1 3:09 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes 10-foot pullup jump shot · 46-24
H1 3:20 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jaden Kempson assists) · 44-24
H1 3:42 · FSU · Cooper Schwieger makes free throw 2 of 2 · 44-21
H1 3:42 · FSU · Cooper Schwieger makes free throw 1 of 2 · 43-21
H1 4:07 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes free throw 2 of 2 · 42-21
H1 4:07 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes free throw 1 of 2 · 41-21
H1 4:27 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes free throw 1 of 1 · 40-21
H1 4:27 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes driving layup · 40-20
H1 4:38 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes free throw 2 of 2 · 40-18
H1 4:38 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes free throw 1 of 2 · 39-18
H1 4:55 · FSU · Martay Barnes makes free throw 2 of 2 · 38-18
H1 4:55 · FSU · Martay Barnes makes free throw 1 of 2 · 37-18
H1 5:09 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Tuscan Onuoha assists) · 36-18
H1 6:24 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes 6-foot dunk · 36-15
H1 7:07 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes 23-foot three point jumper (Shon Abaev assists) · 34-15
H1 7:34 · FAMU · Daisean Williford makes 11-foot pullup jump shot · 31-15
H1 7:56 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes layup (Anthony Robinson II assists) · 31-13
H1 8:29 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes free throw 1 of 1 · 29-13
H1 8:29 · FSU · Anthony Robinson II makes driving layup · 28-13
H1 8:39 · FAMU · Ralph Martino Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Antonio Baker Jr. assists) · 26-13
H1 9:05 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes 26-foot three point jumper (Shon Abaev assists) · 26-10
H1 9:36 · FSU · Brandon Bass Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper · 23-10
H1 9:42 · FAMU · Antonio Baker Jr. makes 8-foot jumper · 20-10
H1 10:23 · FSU · Alex Steen makes 0-foot tip in layup · 20-8
H1 10:23 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2 · 18-8
H1 10:49 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes free throw 1 of 1 · 17-8
H1 10:49 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes 1-foot dunk (Kam Taylor assists) · 16-8
H1 12:03 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes free throw 1 of 1 · 14-8
H1 12:42 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ralph Martino Jr. assists) · 13-8
H1 14:03 · FAMU · Chandler Davis makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jaden Kempson assists) · 13-5
H1 14:20 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes free throw 2 of 2 · 13-2
H1 14:20 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2 · 12-2
H1 15:32 · FSU · Alex Steen makes free throw 2 of 2 · 11-2
H1 16:00 · FAMU · Jaden Kempson makes 19-foot jumper · 10-2
H1 16:13 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes free throw 2 of 2 · 10-0
H1 16:13 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes free throw 1 of 2 · 9-0
H1 16:38 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 2 of 2 · 8-0
H1 16:38 · FSU · Sebastian Rancik makes free throw 1 of 2 · 7-0
H1 18:14 · FSU · Kam Taylor makes layup · 6-0
H1 18:26 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes 0-foot tip in dunk · 4-0
H1 19:18 · FSU · Marcis Ponder makes 0-foot tip in layup · 2-0 Box score Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles player stats Player MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK 3PM TO FG Sebastian Rancik 27 25 4 2 0 0 2 2 8-12 Anthony Robinson II 26 16 8 4 2 0 1 0 7-10 Kam Taylor 26 15 5 4 1 0 1 0 4-6 Shon Abaev 24 6 4 6 3 0 0 0 3-12 Marcis Ponder 20 15 11 0 0 1 0 3 5-6 Brandon Bass Jr. 16 13 1 0 2 0 2 0 5-7 Cooper Schwieger 16 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 2-4 Alex Steen 15 6 7 0 0 0 0 1 2-4 Martay Barnes 14 10 0 0 0 0 2 1 3-7 Elise Assui 12 0 2 1 4 0 0 0 0-1 JD Jones 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 Amare Robinson 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-1 Jalen Crawford 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-1
Did not play: AJ Swinton, Collin Paul, Jasen Lopez
Florida A&M Rattlers
Florida A&M Rattlers player stats Player MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK 3PM TO FG Jaden Kempson 36 27 1 3 1 0 4 1 9-16 Daisean Williford 33 19 5 0 0 0 4 2 5-14 Antonio Baker Jr. 31 15 5 4 1 0
Our model Lineup college basketball points model Experimental This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live. Lineup college basketball points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract Contract Model Best price Model vs. best price FSU to win 1.8¢ 2.9¢ −1.2 pts FAMU to win 98.2¢ 99¢ −0.8 pts FSU +28.5 59.7¢ 53.9¢ +5.8 pts FAMU -28.5 40.3¢ 51.7¢ −11.4 pts FSU +28 58.4¢ 52.4¢ +6.0 pts FAMU -28 41.6¢ 52.4¢ −10.7 pts FSU +27.5 56.5¢ 52.4¢ +4.1 pts FAMU -27.5 43.5¢ 52.4¢ −8.9 pts Over 158.5 35.5¢ 51.2¢ −15.7 pts Under 158.5 64.5¢ 52.4¢ +12.1 pts Over 156.5 40¢ – – Under 156.5 60¢ – –
Price movement FAMU to win
Nov 1, 3:39 PM Nov 2, 9:15 PM ET
Price history for FAMU to win by source, in cents Price history for FAMU to win by source, in cents Series Time (ET) Price Fanatics Nov 1, 3:39 PM 98.6¢ Fanatics Nov 1, 5:08 PM 98.9¢ Fanatics Nov 1, 11:33 PM 99¢ Fanatics Nov 2, 10:08 AM 99.2¢ Fanatics Nov 2, 10:13 AM 99¢ Fanatics Nov 2, 12:53 PM 99.2¢ Fanatics Nov 2, 8:22 PM 99¢ BetMGM Nov 2, 10:58 AM 99¢ Caesars Nov 1, 10:43 PM 99.6¢
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Sign up Picks and reasoning Analyst (AI) passed: Past the 25-game cap for this run
Paper trades.
Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.
Ralph Martino Jr. 20 5 3 2 0 0 1 3 2-5
Chandler Davis 20 3 0 1 0 0 1 1 1-5
Tuscan Onuoha 15 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0-4
Mihailo Stijovic 11 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0-2
Did not play: Alex Montes, Ashton Williams, Jakub Lomicka, Jaquan Sanders, Jayden Joseph
Fanatics 52.4¢ best price 52.4¢ best price
FSU +27.5 / FAMU -27.5
Spread, FSU +27.5 or FAMU -27.5, prices by source Source FSU +27.5 FAMU -27.5 Sportsbooks Caesars 52.4¢ best price 52.4¢ best price
52.4¢
1 more line Total 156.5
Total 156.5, Over 156.5 or Under 156.5, prices by source Source Over 156.5 Under 156.5 Exchanges Kalshi – Hidden
Hidden: no sportsbook price to check against.
