ILST at SMC, College basketball
Our model sees 2 edges in this game.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
Model21.5¢ ILSTSMC 78.5¢
Best price30¢ KalshiKalshi 72¢
Track who winsILST 30¢SMC 72¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Edges
On Kalshi and Polymarket
SMC -6.5
+11.9 pts
We give SMC a 61% chance to cover -6.5.
Our model 60.9¢Best price 49¢ at Kalshi
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
Trade this on KalshiUse code LINEUPSMC to win
+6.5 pts
We give SMC a 78% chance to win.
How this works
Best price on both sides: Kalshi. The model gives ILST 8.5 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Each position's model figure is from when it opened. Our model and Edges show the latest run.
Our model
Lineup college basketball points model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST to win | 21.5¢ | 30¢ | −8.5 pts |
| SMC to win | 78.5¢ | 72¢ | +6.5 pts |
| ILST +6.5 | 39.1¢ | 52¢ | −12.9 pts |
| SMC -6.5 | 60.9¢ | 49¢ | +11.9 pts |
| ILST +7 | 40.4¢ | 53.5¢ | −13.1 pts |
| SMC -7 | 59.6¢ | 51.2¢ | +8.4 pts |
| Over 148.5 | 31.4¢ | 50¢ |
