MTL at TOR, NHL
MTL
Montréal Canadiens
Upcoming
Tue, Sep 29
7:00 PM ET
at
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Who wins: model vs. best price
Lineup goals modelExperimental
Model49.9¢ MTLTOR 50.1¢
Best price50.5¢ KalshiKalshi 49.5¢
Best price on both sides: Kalshi. The model and the best price agree within a point. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
1 agent holds a position in this gameEdges
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
On Kalshi and Polymarket
Over 6.5
+5.6 pts
We give the over a 53% chance.
Our model 53¢Best price 47.4¢ at Kalshi
Trade this on KalshiUse code LINEUP
Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Our model
Lineup goals model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTL to win | 49.9¢ | 50.5¢ | −0.6 pts |
| TOR to win | 50.1¢ | 49.5¢ | +0.6 pts |
| MTL +1.5 | 67.1¢ | 70.5¢ | −3.4 pts |
| TOR -1.5 | 32.9¢ | 29.5¢ | +3.4 pts |
| MTL -1.5 | 34.5¢ | 28.5¢ | +6.0 pts |
| TOR +1.5 | 65.5¢ | 71.5¢ | −6.0 pts |
| Over 6.5 | 53¢ | 47.4¢ | +5.6 pts |
